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    PUBLISHED
    

    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    

    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    

    ------------------------------------------------*

    DEAN ALPHONSO CHAMBERS,

    Petitioner-Appellant,

    v.

    JANET RENO, Attorney General of

    the United States; DORIS MEISSNER,

    Commissioner, Immigration and

    Naturalization Service; RICHARD

    CATERISANO, Acting District

    Director, Immigration and

    Naturalization Service; U.S.

    IMMIGRATION & NATURALIZATION

    SERVICE; UNITED STATES

    DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE,

              Respondents-Appellees.No. 00-6364
    

    DEBORAH ANKER; LENNI B. BENSON;

    CAROLYN PATTY BLUM; RICHARD

    BOSWELL; ERWIN CHERMERINSKY;

    MICHAEL J. CHURGIN; SARAH H.

    CLEVELAND; DAVID COLE; MICHAEL

    G. HEYMAN; KEVIN R. JOHNSON;

    DANIEL KANSTROOM; STEVEN H.

    LEGOMSKY; M. ISABEL MEDINA;

    GERALD L. NEUMAN; JOHN SCANLAN;

    PETER H. SCHUCK; ANDREW

    SILVERMAN; IRWIN P. STOTZKY;

    MICHAEL J. WISHNIE; LARRY W.

    YACKLE,

    Amici Curiae.

    ------------------------------------------------*

    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Maryland, at Greenbelt.
    Deborah K. Chasanow, District Judge.
    (CA-99-3412-DKC)
    

    Argued: June 3, 2002
    

    Decided: October 15, 2002
    

    Before WIDENER and TRAXLER, Circuit Judges, and
    Joseph R. GOODWIN, United States District Judge for the
    Southern District of West Virginia, sitting by designation.
    

    ____________________________________________________________

    Affirmed by published opinion. Judge Traxler wrote the majority

    opinion, in which Judge Widener joined. Judge Goodwin wrote a dis-

    senting opinion.

    ____________________________________________________________

    COUNSEL
    

    ARGUED: Christopher J. Meade, WILMER, CUTLER & PICKER-

    ING, New York, New York, for Appellant. Papu Sandhu, Office of

    Immigration Litigation, Civil Division, UNITED STATES DEPART-

    MENT OF JUSTICE, Washington, D.C., for Appellees. ON BRIEF:

    Paul A. Engelmayer, Katherine R. Goldstein, WILMER, CUTLER &

    PICKERING, New York, New York; Shanta Ramson, RAMSON &

    ASSOCIATES, L.L.C., Burtonsville, Maryland; Lee Gelernt, Lucas

    Guttentag, Immigrants' Rights Project, AMERICAN CIVIL LIBER-

    TIES UNION FOUNDATION, New York, New York, for Appellant.

    David W. Ogden, Acting Assistant Attorney General, Emily Anne

    Radford, Assistant Director, Office of Immigration Litigation, Civil

    Division, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE, Wash-

    ington, D.C., for Appellees. Lenni B. Benson, NEW YORK LAW

    SCHOOL, New York, New York, for Amici Curiae.

    ____________________________________________________________

    OPINION
    

    TRAXLER, Circuit Judge:

    We are asked to decide whether IIRIRA's1 repeal of discretionary

    ____________________________________________________________

    1 IIRIRA is the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsi-

    bility Act of 1996, Pub. L. No. 104-208, 110 Stat. 3009-546.

    2
    

    relief for aggravated felons who have been ordered to be deported can

    be applied to appellant Dean Chambers, who was convicted at trial of

    an aggravated felony prior to the enactment of IIRIRA. We hold that

    IIRIRA's repeal of discretionary relief may be applied to Chambers.

    Accordingly, we affirm the decision of the district court.

    I.
    

    Chambers, a native and citizen of Jamaica, entered and began

    residing in the United States in 1978, when he was two years old. In

    1994, at the age of 17, Chambers was convicted of robbery with a

    deadly weapon after a trial in the Circuit Court for Prince George's

    County, Maryland. He received a prison sentence of four years, all but

    18 months of which was suspended.

    Under the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), an "alien who

    is convicted of an aggravated felony at any time after admission is

    deportable." 8 U.S.C. § 1227(a)(2)(A)(iii) (2000). At the time of

    Chambers' conviction and sentencing, however, his crime did not

    qualify as an "aggravated felony" within the meaning of the INA and

    therefore did not render Chambers deportable. Under the pre-IIRIRA

    version of the INA in effect at the time of Chambers' trial, a "crime

    of violence" such as robbery with a deadly weapon did not constitute

    an "aggravated felony" unless it resulted in a prison term of at least

    five years. 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(43)(F) (1994). IIRIRA amended the

    INA so that a "crime of violence" qualifies as an "aggravated felony"

    if "the term of imprisonment [is] at least one year." 8 U.S.C.

    § 1101(a)(43)(F) (2000); see also INS v. St. Cyr, 533 U.S. 289, 295-

    96 n.4 (2001) (explaining that "aggravated felony" is a "term [that]

    includes any `crime of violence' resulting in a prison sentence of at

    least one year (as opposed to five years pre-IIRIRA)").

    On April 22, 1997, after IIRIRA took effect, the INS began

    removal proceedings against Chambers on the grounds that his con-

    viction qualified as an aggravated felony because it was a crime of

    violence under 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(43)(F) for which he had received

    a sentence of at least one year. Chambers contended that he was not

    deportable. The immigration judge, however, concluded that Cham-

    bers' conviction constituted an aggravated felony and ordered him to

    be removed from the United States under INA § 237(a)(2)(A)(iii). See

    3
    

    8 U.S.C. § 1227(a)(2)(A)(iii). The immigration judge also determined

    that Chambers could not apply for a discretionary waiver of deporta-

    tion under INA § 212(c), a form of relief that was repealed by IIRIRA

    § 304(b).2 Under pre-IIRIRA law at the time of Chambers' convic-

    tion, he would have been eligible to apply for a discretionary waiver

    of deportation by the Attorney General under former INA § 212(c)

    because he received a prison sentence of less than five years. See 8

    U.S.C. § 1182(c) (1994). IIRIRA, however, repealed INA § 212(c).

    See IIRIRA § 304(b), 110 Stat. 3009-597.3 Thus, discretionary relief

    under INA § 212(c) was available at the time of Chambers' trial, con-

    viction, and sentencing, but not at the time that his removal proce-

    dures began. The immigration judge applied the repeal of INA

    § 212(c) to Chambers' case and concluded that his application for

    relief under that section was "pretermitted." J.A. 22. The Board of

    Immigration Appeals affirmed the decision of the immigration judge

    that Chambers was removable and not eligible for any form of relief

    from removal.

    Chambers then sought to challenge the Board's ruling by filing an

    application for habeas relief under 28 U.S.C.A. § 2241 (West 1994).

    Chambers contended that the BIA's application of IIRIRA's repeal of

    INA § 212(c) produced an impermissible retroactive effect. Thus,

    Chambers contended that he was still eligible for discretionary relief

    under the version of INA § 212(c) that was in effect at the time of his

    conviction. Quoting Tasios v. Reno, 204 F.3d 544, 552 (4th Cir.

    2000), the district court rejected Chambers' argument and held that

    the application of the repeal of INA § 212(c) would not "upset `rea-

    sonable, settled expectations and change the legal effect of prior con-

    duct.'" J.A. 48.

    ____________________________________________________________

    2 The immigration judge also concluded that Chambers was not eligible

    for "cancellation of removal," a new form of relief under IIRIRA. 8

    U.S.C. § 1229b(a) (2000). This particular form of relief is not an issue

    in this appeal.

    3 Under the current version of the INA, the Attorney General has the

    authority to cancel removal for certain inadmissible or deportable aliens,

    but not for aliens "convicted of any aggravated felony." 8 U.S.C.

    1229b(a)(3); see also INS v. St. Cyr, 533 U.S. 289, 297 (2001).

    4
    

    Chambers then brought this appeal, which we held in abeyance for

    the Supreme Court's decision in St. Cyr. The Supreme Court has

    issued its decision in St. Cyr and provided guidance on the retroactive

    application of IIRIRA § 304(b). Having received supplemental briefs

    from the parties on the impact of St. Cyr on this appeal, we now

    address Chambers' contention that IIRIRA § 304(b) cannot be applied

    in his case.4 In St. Cyr, the Supreme Court held that discretionary

    relief under INA § 212(c) "remains available for aliens . . . whose

    convictions were obtained through plea agreements and who . . .

    would have been eligible for § 212(c) relief at the time of their plea

    under the law then in effect." 533 U.S. at 326. We are presented with

    the very narrow question of whether the fact that Chambers was con-

    victed at trial rather than by guilty plea pursuant to a plea agreement

    changes the result dictated by St. Cyr. We conclude that, in Cham-

    bers' case, it does.

    II.
    

    In St. Cyr, the Supreme Court affirmed its two-part analytical pro-

    cess for considering potentially retroactive statutes. First, a court must

    decide "whether Congress has directed with the requisite clarity that

    the law be applied retrospectively." Id. at 316; see also Landgraf v.

    USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 280 (1994) ("When a case implicates

    a federal statute enacted after the events in suit, the court's first task

    is to determine whether Congress has expressly prescribed the stat-

    ute's proper reach."). We may not apply a statute retroactively "absent

    a clear indication from Congress that it intended such a result." St.

    Cyr, 533 U.S. at 316. "Requiring clear intent assures that Congress

    itself has affirmatively considered the potential unfairness of retroac-

    tive application and determined that it is an acceptable price to pay

    ____________________________________________________________

    4 St. Cyr also definitively answered (in the negative) the question of

    whether Congress repealed habeas jurisdiction under § 2241 in cases

    such as this one. See 533 U.S. at 314. In view of that portion of the St.

    Cyr decision, the government abandoned its challenge to the district

    court's assumption of habeas jurisdiction under § 2241. We note, how-

    ever, that the district court correctly rejected the government's jurisdic-

    tional challenge based on contrary circuit precedent. See Tasios v. Reno,

    204 F.3d 544, 547 (4th Cir. 2000); Bowrin v. INS, 194 F.3d 483, 486-89

    (4th Cir. 1999) (per curiam).

    5
    

    for the countervailing benefits." Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 272-73. If

    Congress has expressly commanded that the statute must, or must not,

    be applied retrospectively, "our inquiry is concluded." Tasios, 204

    F.3d at 548. However, when Congress has not spoken with the requi-

    site clarity, the next step in the retroactivity analysis is to determine

    whether the application of the statute "produces an impermissible

    retroactive effect." St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 320. "If so, then in keeping

    with our traditional presumption against retroactivity, we presume

    that the statute does not apply to [the conduct at issue]." Martin v.

    Hadix, 527 U.S. 343, 352 (1999) (internal quotation marks omitted).

    A.
    

    St. Cyr established that Congress did not provide a sufficiently

    clear command with respect to the temporal reach of the repeal of

    INA § 212(c) by IIRIRA § 304(b). See St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 320

    (rejecting "the conclusion that, in enacting § 304(b), Congress itself

    has affirmatively considered the potential unfairness of retroactive

    application and determined that it is an acceptable price to pay for the

    countervailing benefits" (internal quotation marks omitted)). Lacking

    such express instructions from Congress, we move directly to the

    question of whether applying the repeal of INA § 212(c) to Chambers

    produces an impermissible retroactive effect.

    B.
    

    A new statute does not produce a retroactive effect "merely

    because it is applied in a case arising from conduct antedating the

    statute's enactment." Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 269. The question instead

    is "whether the new provision attaches new legal consequences to

    events completed before its enactment." Id. at 270. A statute would

    attach new legal consequences to prior events if its application

    "would impair rights a party possessed when he acted, increase a

    party's liability for past conduct, or impose new duties with respect

    to transactions already completed." Id. at 280. The question of

    whether a new statute attaches new legal consequences to prior con-

    duct "demands a commonsense, functional judgment" that "should be

    informed and guided by familiar considerations of fair notice, reason-

    able reliance, and settled expectations." Martin, 527 U.S. at 357-58

    (internal quotation marks omitted).

    6
    

    In St. Cyr, the Court considered whether IIRIRA's repeal of discre-

    tionary relief under INA § 212(c) would have a retroactive effect if

    applied to an alien who was "convicted pursuant to a plea agreement

    at a time when [his] plea would not have rendered [him] ineligible for

    § 212(c) relief." St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 320. The Court concluded that

    applying the repeal to aliens "who entered into plea agreements with

    the expectation that they would be eligible for[§ 212(c)] relief"

    would "attach[ ] new legal consequences to events completed before

    its enactment" and produce a retroactive effect. Id. at 321 (emphasis

    added) (internal quotation marks omitted).

    In reaching this conclusion, the Court focused on an alien's reason-

    able reliance on the possibility of discretionary relief under INA

    § 212(c) as one of the most important factors prompting him to forego

    trial and enter a plea agreement. "Given the frequency with which

    § 212(c) relief was granted in the years leading up to . . . IIRIRA,"

    the Court reasoned that "preserving the possibility of such relief

    would have been one of the principal benefits sought by defendants

    deciding whether to accept a plea offer or instead to proceed to trial."

    Id. at 323. Indeed, "[t]here can be little doubt that, as a general matter,

    alien defendants considering whether to enter into a plea agreement

    are acutely aware of the immigration consequences of their convic-

    tions." Id. at 322. The Court held that"[b]ecause [St. Cyr], and other

    aliens like him, almost certainly relied upon [the] likelihood [of

    receiving discretionary relief] in deciding whether to forgo their right

    to a trial, the elimination of any possibility of § 212(c) relief by

    IIRIRA has an obvious and severe retroactive effect." Id. at 325.

    1.
    

    Chambers suggests that under the reasoning of St. Cyr, he pos-

    sesses similar reliance interests that would cause the application of

    IIRIRA § 304(b) in his case to operate retroactively. An alien in

    Chambers' position, however, does not have a reliance interest com-

    parable to that which was at the heart of St. Cyr. The alien in St. Cyr

    made his decisions in the context of the quid pro quo relationship

    established by a plea agreement where, "[i]n exchange for some per-

    ceived benefit, defendants waive several of their constitutional rights

    (including the right to a trial) and grant the government numerous tan-

    gible benefits, such as promptly imposed punishment without the

    7
    

    expenditure of prosecutorial resources." Id. at 322 (internal quotation

    marks omitted). The "perceived benefit" of the plea agreement was

    the very real possibility of § 212(c) relief: "Relying upon settled prac-

    tice, the advice of counsel, and perhaps even assurances in open court

    that the entry of the plea would not foreclose § 212(c) relief, a great

    number of defendants in . . . St. Cyr's position agreed to plead guilty."

    Id. at 323. The Court concluded that the application of IIRIRA

    § 304(b) to St. Cyr "would surely be contrary to familiar consider-

    ations of fair notice, reasonable reliance, and settled expectations"

    because the new statute would deprive St. Cyr of the benefit he

    sought in exchange for pleading guilty while the government still

    enjoyed "the benefit of the[ ] plea agreement[ ], [an] agreement[ ] that

    [was] likely facilitated by the alien['s] belief in [his] continued eligi-

    bility for § 212(c) relief." Id. (internal quotation marks omitted).

    Thus, in order to obtain the benefit of continued eligibility for relief

    under INA § 212(c), St. Cyr entered a guilty plea pursuant to the

    terms of a plea agreement - a decision that resulted in an immediate

    and detrimental change of position with respect to his immigration

    status. The key event in terms of St. Cyr 's analysis of whether the

    new statute would produce a retroactive effect was the alien's deci-

    sion to abandon his constitutional right to a trial and plead guilty to

    a deportable offense in reliance on prior law. See St. Cyr, 533 U.S.

    at 325. In reliance on the continued availability of INA § 212(c), St.

    Cyr pled guilty - a decision that immediately changed his status

    from non-deportable to deportable. See Velasquez-Gabriel v. Crocetti,

    263 F.3d 102, 109 (4th Cir. 2001) ("In contrast to the aliens in St. Cyr

    and Tasios, Velasquez-Gabriel posits no way in which his marriage

    in "reliance" on preexisting law weakened his immigration status

    under the new law or hurt his chances of remaining in this country.").

    In light of our reading of St. Cyr, Chambers' argument that an

    immigrant may go to trial in reliance on the availability of § 212(c)

    relief is flawed for at least two reasons. First, it is not likely that aliens

    who go to trial to challenge the underlying crime do so primarily

    because they hope to obtain discretionary relief. The reliance interest

    in pleading guilty arises because of the quid pro quo exchange that

    characterizes a plea agreement but not trial. St. Cyr recognized that

    the reason an alien would agree to plead guilty and thereby acquire

    "deportable" status is the expectation that, by conferring a benefit on

    8
    

    the government, he would receive a benefit in return - a reduced

    sentence that would ensure continued eligibility for discretionary

    relief. See id. at 323-24. By contrast, an alien who goes to trial does

    not act to preserve eligibility under INA § 212(c). In fact, by rolling

    the dice and going to trial, Chambers actually ensured that his eligibil-

    ity for discretionary relief would remain uncertain. Charged with an

    offense carrying a maximum prison sentence of 20 years, Chambers

    was offered a plea agreement whereby he would receive a sentence

    of four years,5 which at the time would have kept him eligible for dis-

    cretionary relief. See 8 U.S.C. § 1182(c) (1994). By going to trial,

    Chambers rejected the certainty of eligibility by risking a sentence of

    more than five years in the event he was unable to successfully defend

    against the underlying charge. The fact that Chambers ended up with

    a shorter prison term than that offered by the government - one that

    was safely below the five-year eligibility threshold for § 212(c) relief

    at the time of sentencing - does not change the fact that Chambers

    proceeded to trial fully aware of the risk that he would be convicted

    and sentenced to a prison term that would disqualify him under INA

    § 212(c).

    Second, in contrast to aliens who plead guilty, Chambers made no

    decision that adversely impacted his immigration status. See

    Velasquez-Gabriel, 263 F.3d at 109. An alien cannot (and could not

    at the time of Chambers' trial) be deported for an aggravated felony

    without first being convicted of a crime that qualifies as a deportable

    offense. Thus, an alien who enters a guilty plea to a qualifying crime

    acquires "deportable alien" status, thereby weakening his immigration

    status and taking a substantial step towards actual deportation. The

    decision to go to trial, however, does not render an alien deportable

    or subject him to certain deportation. Really, the opposite is true -

    aliens who go to trial act to preserve, not weaken, their immigration

    status by challenging the underlying crime.

    We also reject Chambers' suggestion that he detrimentally relied

    on prior law because his offense was not even deportable at the time

    of his conviction and therefore he "wrongly believ[ed] there [was] no

    immigration benefit to negotiating to a plea." Supp. Brief of Appel-

    ____________________________________________________________

    5 These facts are drawn from the representations of the parties at oral

    argument.

    9
    

    lant at 6. IIRIRA § 321(a)(3) expanded the definition of "aggravated

    felony" to include "crimes of violence" resulting in a prison term of

    at least one year. See 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(43)(F) (2000). At the time

    of Chambers' trial, a "crime of violence" did not qualify as an "aggra-

    vated felony" - for which an alien could be deported - unless the

    resulting term of imprisonment was at least five years. Chambers con-

    tends the state of the law with respect to potential immigration conse-

    quences gave him no incentive to negotiate a plea agreement; hence,

    he unwittingly "focus[ed] on the criminal justice aspects of whether

    to go to trial or negotiate a plea." Supp. Brief of Appellants at 7.

    Again, Chambers makes an argument that is misguided on at least two

    counts. First, Chambers' decision not to plead guilty did have immi-

    gration implications even then. Although Chambers' conviction did

    not render him deportable at the time of his sentencing, Chambers

    was, at the time he made the decision to go to trial, charged with a

    violent offense carrying a maximum sentence that far exceeded the

    five-year threshold necessary for an offense to qualify as an "aggra-

    vated felony." That is, at the time of trial, Chambers was facing a

    charge that could potentially render him deportable. Chambers went

    to trial in the face of this risk, gambling that, if convicted, he would

    not receive such a high sentence that he would be rendered deport-

    able. That Chambers ultimately received a sentence that did not ren-

    der him deportable at the time is inconsequential, as far as goes the

    calculus Chambers used in determining whether to risk trial or not.

    Accordingly, it is simply not true that Chambers had no immigration

    incentive to negotiate a plea on the underlying charge. Second, this

    argument is essentially an indirect attack upon the retroactive applica-

    tion of the new, more expansive definition of "aggravated felony" as

    amended by IIRIRA § 321(a)(3). Chambers, of course, does not

    directly contend that IIRIRA § 321 cannot be retroactively applied to

    him because Congress has unambiguously instructed that the

    amended definition of "aggravated felony" applies to qualifying con-

    victions entered before, on or after IIRIRA's enactment. See IIRIRA

    § 321(b), 110 Stat. 3009-628; St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 318-19. In short,

    the fact that Chambers' conviction was not a deportable offense at the

    time of his sentencing, but later became so after IIRIRA was enacted,

    does not cause IIRIRA's repeal of discretionary relief to operate retro-

    actively with respect to Chambers.6

    ____________________________________________________________

    6 We note that the result reached by our decision is in accord with that

    reached by other circuit courts of appeal considering virtually the same

    issue. See Armendariz-Montoya v. Sonchik, 291 F.3d 1116, 1121 (9th

    Cir. 2002); Lara-Ruiz v. INS, 241 F.3d 934, 945 (7th Cir. 2001).

    10
    

    2.
    

    Chambers contends that detrimental reliance is not a sine qua non

    for retroactive operation of a new statute. Despite the central role

    played by the element of reliance in St. Cyr, Chambers urges us to

    apply an analytical formula that does not include reliance as a consid-

    eration. Specifically, Chambers relies on Hughes Aircraft Co. v.

    United States ex rel. Schumer, 520 U.S. 939 (1997), as support for the

    proposition that he need not demonstrate reliance upon prior law for

    the new statute to operate retroactively.

    As a general matter, we agree that the Supreme Court has not lim-

    ited its examination of a statute's retroactive effect to one single, rigid

    test. In recent years, the Court has reiterated its adherence to Justice

    Story's "influential definition" of a retroactive statute as one "which

    takes away or impairs vested rights acquired under existing laws, or

    creates a new obligation, imposes a new duty, or attaches a new dis-

    ability, in respect to transactions or considerations already past."

    Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 268-69 (internal quotation marks omitted); see

    St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 321; Hughes Aircraft, 520 U.S. at 947. However,

    these decisions have also reminded us that Justice Story's definition

    "`does not purport to define the outer limit of impermissible retroac-

    tivity'" and merely "describes several ` sufficient,' as opposed to `nec-

    essary,' conditions for finding retroactivity." St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 321

    n.46 (quoting Hughes Aircraft, 520 U.S. at 947). Rather, "the Court

    has used various formulations to describe the functional conception

    of legislative retroactivity." Hughes Aircraft, 520 U.S. at 947 (internal

    alteration and quotation marks omitted); see Landgraf, 511 U.S. at

    269. Of course, as the Supreme Court has "repeatedly counseled, the

    judgment whether a particular statute acts retroactively should be

    informed and guided by familiar considerations of fair notice, reason-

    able reliance, and settled expectations." St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 321

    (internal quotation marks omitted).

    In view of these observations by the Court about retroactivity, we

    have acknowledged that an alien's failure to demonstrate reliance on

    pre-IIRIRA law might not foreclose a claim that the post-IIRIRA ver-

    sion of the INA operates retroactively. See Velasquez-Gabriel, 263

    F.3d at 109 (citing Hughes Aircraft for the proposition that the appli-

    cation of newly enacted INA § 241(a)(5) might operate retroactively

    11
    

    even though the alien was unable to demonstrate any reliance upon

    the prior version of the INA). Even if that is so, Hughes Aircraft,

    upon which Chambers relies, does not aid him. In Hughes Aircraft,

    the Court applied Justice Story's definition and, without discussing

    reliance, held that an amendment to the False Claims Act operated

    retroactively because it eliminated a defense to a qui tam action based

    on pre-amendment conduct. See 520 U.S. at 951-52. IIRIRA's repeal

    of the discretionary relief provision, however, unlike the amendment

    at issue in Hughes Aircraft, does not "take[ ] away or impair[ ] vested

    rights acquired under existing laws, or create[ ] a new obligation,

    impose[ ] a new duty, or attach[ ] a new disability," id. at 947 (inter-

    nal quotation marks omitted), with respect to the relevant past con-

    duct, i.e., Chambers' decision to go to trial. Nor, as Chambers

    suggests, does the repeal "attach[ ] new legal consequences to events

    completed before [IIRIRA's] enactment," Martin, 527 U.S. at 357-58

    (internal quotation marks omitted), or give "a quality or effect to acts

    or conduct which they did not have or did not contemplate when they

    were performed," Union Pac. R.R. Co. v. Laramie Stock Yards Co.,

    231 U.S. 190, 199 (1913), because IIRIRA did not change the impact

    of Chambers' decision to go to trial on his immigration status. As we

    have already noted, Chambers' decision to go to trial did not render

    him deportable or subject him to certain deportation, regardless of

    whether pre- or post-IIRIRA law is applied.

    III.
    

    The application of IIRIRA § 304(b), which repealed discretionary

    relief from deportation formerly available under INA § 212(c), is not

    impermissibly retroactive as to Chambers. Accordingly, we affirm the

    decision of the district court.

    AFFIRMED
    

    GOODWIN, District Judge, dissenting:

    The majority concludes that IIRIRA's repeal of discretionary relief

    under § 212(c) does not attach a new disability to Chambers's past

    conduct. This is because the majority considers Chambers's decision

    to go to trial to be the "relevant past conduct," ante at 12, for the pur-

    pose of determining a retroactive effect. I part company with the

    12
    

    majority simply because I find the relevant conduct to be Chambers's

    crime of conviction rather than his decision to go to trial. My logic

    is simple. Whether before or after amendment, the only statutory con-

    sequences were those flowing from Chambers's criminal conduct.

    Without IIRIRA § 304(b)'s repeal of § 212(c) waivers, an alien who

    committed armed robbery faced imprisonment and possible deporta-

    tion. With IIRIRA § 304(b), an alien committing armed robbery faces

    imprisonment and certain deportation.1 To my mind, this change

    impermissibly "attaches new legal consequences to events completed

    before" the enactment of IIRIRA, and therefore has a retroactive

    effect. Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 270 (1994).

    Accordingly, I respectfully dissent. I will first explain why I believe

    that we must focus on Chambers's underlying criminal conduct when

    determining whether this change in the law has a retroactive effect.

    With that focus in mind, I will then explain why this change in the

    law has a retroactive effect as applied to Chambers.

    I.
    

    The majority, in determining whether the repeal of § 212(c) has an

    impermissible retroactive effect, considers Chambers's conduct at

    trial but not his underlying primary conduct, that is, the criminal con-

    duct which lead to his conviction. While the Supreme Court in St. Cyr

    did consider the alien's secondary conduct - his decision to plead

    guilty - the Court did not suggest that the alien's guilty plea was the

    only relevant past conduct for the purposes of determining retroactive

    ____________________________________________________________

    1 I say "without IIRIRA § 304(b)" and "with IIRIRA § 304(b)" rather

    than "prior to IIRIRA" and "after IIRIRA" because, as the majority

    explains, prior to IIRIRA Chambers's armed robbery conviction and sen-

    tence did not render him deportable at all. IIRIRA changed the law in

    two relevant respects to the detriment of aliens like Chambers. First, it

    expanded the definition of "aggravated felony" so that Chambers's armed

    robbery conviction now constitutes an aggravated felony and renders him

    eligible for deportation. Second, it eliminated § 212(c) waivers for aliens

    convicted of aggravated felonies. This first change clearly applies to

    Chambers, because, as the majority explains, Congress explicitly said so.

    See ante at 10. Thus, when considering whether § 304(b)'s elimination

    of § 212(c) waivers has a retroactive effect by changing the legal land-

    scape prior to IIRIRA, one must treat the expansion of the "aggravated

    felony" definition as part of that pre-IIRIRA legal landscape.

    13
    

    effect.2 A defendant's underlying, primary conduct has always served

    as the starting point for a retroactivity analysis. For example, in

    Domond v. INS, 244 F.3d 81 (2d Cir. 2001), which involved the very

    issue presented in this case, the Second Circuit focused on whether

    the elimination of § 212(c) altered "the punishment for the [alien's]

    underlying criminal conduct." Id. at 86 (emphasis added).3 See also

    Tasios v. Reno, 204 F.3d 544, 551 (4th Cir. 2000) ("In considering

    whether § 212(c) would alter the legal effect of conduct that predates

    AEDPA's enactment, we do not limit our analysis to the conduct that

    resulted in the felony conviction.") (emphasis added).

    When determining whether to apply a new rule of law to a pending

    case, courts often draw a distinction between procedural and substan-

    tive rules, a distinction that turns on what type of conduct is regulated

    by the new rule. "The relevant rule is that statutes which change pri-

    mary (out of court) duties, for example statutes that impose new tort

    liabilities, are applied prospectively, while statutes that change merely

    procedures are applied retroactively." LaGuerre v. Reno, 164 F.3d

    1035, 1041 (7th Cir. 1998). The logic behind this approach is that

    "[b]ecause rules of procedure regulate secondary rather than primary

    conduct, the fact that a new procedural rule was instituted after the

    ____________________________________________________________

    2 I use the term "primary conduct" to refer to the conduct that is the

    subject of the regulation in question and the term "secondary conduct"

    to refer to subsequent conduct that is not the direct subject of the regula-

    tion, such as decisions in the course of judicial proceedings.

    3 The Domand court went on to conclude that "loss of the Section

    212(c) hearings, while clearly a hardship, does not impose a new legal

    consequence on Domond's pre-AEDPA criminal conduct." Id. at 86.

    Because "waivers from Section 212(c) hearings were [always] purely

    discretionary," the court reasoned that their loss did not constitute a new

    legal consequence. Soon after Domand was decided, the Supreme Court

    stated that "the fact that § 212 relief is discretionary does not affect the

    . . . conclusion [that § 304(b) has a retroactive effect]. There is a clear

    difference, for the purposes of retroactivity analysis, between facing pos-

    sible deportation and facing certain deportation." INS v. St. Cyr, 533 U.S.

    289, 325 (2001). Thus the court in Domond properly asked whether the

    revocation of § 212(c) waivers imposed a new legal consequence on the

    underlying criminal conduct, as opposed to simply the alien's conduct at

    trial, but then mistakenly concluded that the cancellation of a discretion-

    ary form of relief imposed no new legal consequences on that conduct.

    14
    

    conduct giving rise to the suit does not make the application of the

    rule at trial retroactive." Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 275. The § 212(c)

    waiver, and the corresponding elimination of that waiver by IIRIRA

    § 304(b), are clearly both substantive laws that regulate primary con-

    duct, not merely procedural rules that regulate subsequent conduct

    such as litigation decisions. The conduct being regulated by § 212(c)

    (and its elimination by § 304(b)) is, first and foremost, the underlying

    criminal conduct leading to a conviction that rendered the alien sub-

    ject to deportation and therefore in need of a § 212(c) waiver. Accord-

    ingly, it is counterintuitive to only consider the effect of this

    substantive legal change on Chambers's prior secondary conduct, as

    opposed to its effect on his prior criminal conduct.

    In this case, the majority focuses on Chambers' secondary conduct

    to the exclusion of considering his primary conduct, the crime itself.

    While the "relevant past conduct" for even a substantive legal change

    (such as the elimination of § 212(c) waivers) may sometimes include

    secondary conduct, the main focus should be on the underlying crimi-

    nal conduct. With this focus on Chambers's underlying criminal con-

    duct in mind, I will now turn to consider whether IIRIRA's

    elimination of § 212(c) relief from deportation has an impermissible

    retroactive effect.

    II.
    

    As the Supreme Court explained in St. Cyr,"[t]here is a clear dif-

    ference, for the purposes of retroactivity analysis, between facing pos-

    sible deportation and facing certain deportation." INS v. St. Cyr, 533

    U.S. 289, 325 (2001). Prior to IIRIRA, an alien committing an aggra-

    vated felony was faced with imprisonment and possible deportation.

    After IIRIRA's elimination of § 212(c) waivers, an alien committing

    those same aggravated felonies faces imprisonment and certain deporta-

    tion.4 This change "attaches new legal consequences to events com-

    ____________________________________________________________

    4 As noted above, supra n.1, Chambers's armed robbery conviction did

    not constitute an "aggravated felony" prior to IIRIRA. But because Con-

    gress explicitly instructed that IIRIRA's expanded definition of "aggra-

    vated felony" would apply to crimes committed prior to IIRIRA's

    enactment, we must (for the limited purpose of determining the retroac-

    tive effect of § 340(b)) treat Chambers's armed robbery as an "aggra-

    vated felony" from the moment it was committed.

    15
    

    pleted before" the enactment of IIRIRA, and therefore has a

    retroactive effect. Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 270. Accordingly, IIRIRA's

    repeal of § 212(c) should not be applied retroactively to Chambers.

    I agree with the majority's rejection of Chambers's argument that

    he relied on the availability of § 212(c) when he decided to go to trial.

    This is not a case, like St. Cyr, where the unfairness of retroactively

    applying the rule stems from reliance concerns. As the majority

    acknowledges, however, reliance is merely one way to prove an

    unfair retroactive effect; it is by no means the only test of unfair retro-

    activity. See Hughes Aircraft Co. v. United States ex rel. Schumer,

    520 U.S. 939, 947 (1997); Velasquez-Gabriel v. Crocetti, 263 F.3d

    102, 109 (4th Cir. 2001). Detrimental reliance is simply one manifes-

    tation of the unfairness that can result from instability in the law. But

    the presumption against retroactivity is grounded in broader and more

    fundamental concerns. As Justice Scalia has explained, there is "time-

    less and universal human appeal" to the notion that "the legal effect

    of conduct should ordinarily be assessed under the law that existed

    when the conduct took place." Kaiser Aluminum & Chem. Corp. v.

    Bonjorno, 494 U.S. 827, 855 (1990) (Scalia, J., concurring). Apart

    from reliance, the presumption against retroactivity reflects the more

    basic concern that people "should have an opportunity to know what

    the law is and to conform their conduct accordingly." Landgraf, 511

    U.S. at 265. This concern "relates to concepts of governmental legiti-

    macy." Nancy Morawetz, Rethinking Retroactive Deportation Laws

    and the Due Process Clause, 73 N.Y.U. L. Rev. 97, 136 (1998).

    "[T]he government engenders greater respect for its laws and its law-

    making institutions if it can commit to the stability of its laws." Jill

    E. Fisch, Retroactivity and Legal Change: an Equilibrium Approach,

    110 Harv. L. Rev. 1055. 1106 (1997). That is, the government oper-

    ates with greater fairness, and thus greater legitimacy, when it does

    not change the rules midway through the game. Thus the presumption

    against retroactivity, like the various constitutional protections against

    retroactive legislation, serves to "limit[ ] the sovereign's ability to use

    its lawmaking power to modify bargains it has made with its sub-

    jects." Lynce v. Mathis, 519 U.S. 433, 440 (1997).5 Regardless of

    ____________________________________________________________

    5 The presumption against retroactivity does not place absolute limits

    on Congress's power to enact retroactive legislation, as does, for exam-

    16
    

    whether a particular individual actually relies to his detriment on the

    legal regime, the government must at least give individuals the

    opportunity to know the law and behave accordingly.

    It is instructive to compare Chambers's situation to that of the

    defendant in Hughes. In Hughes, the question before the Court was

    whether the elimination of a defense to statutory qui tam actions had

    a retroactive effect, such that the change should only apply prospec-

    tively. Hughes, 520 U.S. at 941. Between 1982 and 1986, the False

    Claims Act required dismissal of qui tam actions that were based on

    evidence or information that was already in the possession of the gov-

    ernment when the action was brought. Id. at 945. In 1986 Congress

    changed the FCA to remove this limitation except in certain circum-

    stances. Id. at 946. The qui tam plaintiff argued that this amendment

    had no retroactive effect because it did not create a new cause of

    action or impose liability where none had existed previously. Id. at

    948. Even under the pre-1986 version of the FCA, the plaintiff

    argued, an FCA defendant faced monetary liability for false claims

    against the government because the United States could pursue the

    claim against the defendant regardless of whether a qui tam plaintiff

    could bring the claim. Id. at 948-49. The 1986 version of the FCA

    simply meant that, in cases where the evidence of a false claim was

    in the possession of the government, a false claims lawsuit could be

    brought by a qui tam plaintiff as well as by the United States. A unan-

    imous Supreme Court rejected this argument, noting that while "mon-

    etary liability faced by an FCA defendant is the same whether the

    action is brought by the Government or by a qui tam relator, the 1986

    amendment eliminates a defense to a qui tam suit . . . and therefore

    changes the substance of the existing cause of action for qui tam

    defendants by `attach[ing] a new disability, in respect to transactions

    or considerations already past.'" Id. at 948.

    ____________________________________________________________

    ple, the Ex Post Facto clause or the Due Process Clause. See Lynce, 519

    U.S. at 439-40. Nonetheless, it forces Congress to bear the political

    weight of the perceived unfairness of retroactive legislation by requiring

    Congress to explicitly and clearly state that the legislation will be applied

    retroactively. Thus, while the presumption is not an absolute barrier, it

    does place a constraint on retroactive legislation by permitting retroactiv-

    ity only when Congress is willing to say so explicitly.

    17
    

    There was no suggestion in Hughes that the 1986 amendment to

    the qui tam statute raised reliance concerns - that is, that the defen-

    dant had submitted a false claim to the government in reliance on the

    fact that only the government, not a qui tam plaintiff, could bring an

    action based on that false claim. Such a claim of reliance would have

    been as implausible as a claim of reliance in this case - that when

    Chambers committed robbery with a deadly weapon, he relied on the

    fact that he would only be subject to imprisonment and possible

    deportation rather than imprisonment and certain deportation. Hughes

    reflects the view that, apart from whether an individual actually relies

    on the preexisting legal regime, courts should not presume that Con-

    gress meant to change the rules midway through the game. Hughes

    illustrates how "[e]ven when the conduct in question is morally repre-

    hensible or illegal, a degree of unfairness is inherent whenever the

    law imposes additional burdens based on conduct that occurred in the

    past." Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 282 n.35. Chambers's armed robbery

    was illegal at the time it was committed, and he has been imprisoned

    accordingly. The repeal of the § 212(c) waiver, however, "imposes

    additional burdens on conduct that occurred in the past." Id. Accord-

    ingly, we should not, as a matter of judicial presumption, apply this

    change retroactively unless explicitly instructed to do so by Congress.

    Chambers's situation can also be contrasted with that of the alien

    in Velasquez-Gabriel v. Crocetti, 263 F.3d 102 (4th Cir. 2001).

    Velasquez-Gabriel was an alien who had illegally reentered the

    United States while under a prior order of removal. Id. at 103-04.

    After his illegal reentry, the law changed so as to require reinstate-

    ment of his prior order of removal without the opportunity to reopen

    or obtain review of that prior order. Id. at 104. The court held that this

    change in the law did not operate in an impermissibly retroactive

    manner. The court first explained that Velasquez-Gabriel had not

    taken any actions in reliance on the old law; thus, the law was not

    retroactive for that reason. Id. at 109. The court then noted that even

    absent proof of reliance, the change in the law might still have a retro-

    active effect. Another concern underlying retroactivity, the court

    noted, is that persons subject to the law have an "opportunity to know

    what the law [was] and to conform [his] conduct accordingly." Id. at

    109-10 (quotations and citations omitted). Velasquez-Gabriel, the

    court explained, had seven months to apply for adjustment of status

    before the new law was enacted and another six months after that to

    18
    

    apply for adjustment of status before the new law went into effect. Id.

    at 109. Thus, Velasquez-Gabriel had had over a year during which he

    could have taken affirmative action to request adjustment of status

    under the old legal regime before the law changed and deprived him

    of that opportunity. The court explained that "Velasquez-Gabriel's

    failure to apply to adjust his resident status before the new law took

    effect fatally undermines his contention that § 241(a)(5)'s application

    to him `attaches new legal consequences to events completed before

    its enactment.'" Id. at 110 (quoting St. Cyr, 533 U.S. at 321) (empha-

    sis omitted). Here, in contrast, Chambers' fate was out of his hands

    once he had committed the armed robbery. After that act, Chambers

    faced imprisonment and, once Congress mandated that his crime was

    an aggravated felony, the possibility of deportation unless he was

    granted a § 212(c) waiver. He had no further opportunity, as

    Velasquez-Gabriel did, to "know what the law was and to conform his

    conduct accordingly." Id. at 109-10 (quotations and alterations omit-

    ted). From the time of the robbery on, he was at the mercy of the gov-

    ernment both in his criminal prosecution and in his subsequent

    deportation proceedings.

    I agree with the majority's characterization of the law except inso-

    far as it fails to consider any retroactive effect to Chambers's underly-

    ing criminal conduct. Applying the majority's analysis on pages

    11-12 of its opinion to that underlying primary conduct, I would con-

    clude that IIRIRA's repeal of the discretionary relief provision does

    "attach[ ] a new disability," Hughes, 520 U.S. at 947, with respect to

    the relevant past conduct, i.e., Chambers's commission of the armed

    robbery. The repeal "attaches new legal consequences to events com-

    pleted before [IIRIRA's] enactment," Martin v. Hadix, 527 U.S. 343,

    357-58 (1999) (internal quotation marks omitted), and gives "a qual-

    ity or effect to acts or conduct which they did not have or did not con-

    template when they were performed," Union Pac. R.R. Co. v. Laramie

    Stock Yards Co., 231 U.S. 190, 199 (1913), because IIRIRA changed

    the impact of Chambers's commission of armed robbery on his immi-

    gration status. Because "the legal effect of [Chambers's criminal]

    conduct is determined by subsequently enacted law, that law operates

    retroactively." Tasios, 204 F.3d at 551. Absent a clear Congressional

    indication that this change in the law should retroactively deprive

    Chambers of the possibility of relief from otherwise certain deporta-

    tion, the traditional presumption against retroactivity should bar the

    19
    

    retroactive loss of the § 212(c) waiver in this case. Accordingly, I

    would reverse the decision of the district court.

    20
    

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